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Hi there,
I have some questions about implied odds as well.
It's known that implied odds needed for low/med pocket pairs are somewhere around 15x the raise. (some say 10x, some 20x, I use 15x)
You'll flop a set 1 out of 9. So let's say you call a standard raise of 4BB. You'll have to win at least 9x4=36BB each time you flop a set to break even calling raises with these PP's.
(please correct me if I'm wrong somewhere)
With sets over sets, straights, flushes, etc. that number has to be even higher, so 50BB or more is probably needed to break even..so you would have to win at least half a buyin at least to break even CALLING. (i'm not talking about when you are the PFR)
To be honest, I doubt I'll get paid that big enough at 25NL 6max to break even playing them, let alone make them big winners. In my experience people are generally very passive at 25NL, so getting paid of is pretty hard.
Does anyone have any comments on this? Are my calculations wrong? Are my impressions of the passiveness wrong?
Ofcouse multiway and/or being the PFR are different stories, I'm just talking about a HU flop, after calling preflop.
What about implied odds needed for SC's and Axs. SC's flop well, either a flush draw or straight draw 1 out of 6 times. But draws aren't made hands yet, they'll make it after the flop about 1 out of 3.
Let's say we can play draws profitably from the flop and further. To CALL a raise with SC's preflop, you'd have to win 6x4BB=24BB everytime you flop a straight or flush draw to break even. You won't win always when you flop a draw, let's say you win half of it (either by letting villain fold, or make your draw), you'll have to win 48BB everytime then.
By letting someone fold, you won't win 48BB very often, so when you do make your draw you have to make it up, so winning 60-70BB then is needed, I guess.
That's a lot of BB's in my eyes. Again, are my calculations any good? (i.e. I don't take flopping 2 pair, trips into account)
Or shouldn't SC's be played just for draw value, but also to catch good bluffing oppertunities?
Is my conclusion that implied odds needed for SC's are higher then PP's correct?
And what about Axs. I've read people saying that calling a raise in position with them is profitable. But how can that be? Don't you need like a million of implied odds with them? Top pair weak kicker isn't a big winner, so does the EV come from making good bluffs?
Sorry for the longish post. I hope someone takes the time to comment on my questions as they cross my mind very often. Thx in advance
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